Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi
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Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi
Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi
中国结合医学杂志(英文版)2015年21卷第10期 页码:751-758
Affiliations:
School of Basic Medicial Science, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine,Beijing,China
Author bio:
Funds:
Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81072896)
Zhang, X., Hao, Y., Fei, Zy. et al. Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi., Chin. J. Integr. Med. 21, 751–758 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11655-015-2319-7
Xuan Zhang, Yu Hao, Zhan-yang Fei, et al. Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi[J]. Chinese Journal of Integrative Medicine, 2015,21(10):751-758.
Zhang, X., Hao, Y., Fei, Zy. et al. Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi., Chin. J. Integr. Med. 21, 751–758 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11655-015-2319-7DOI:
Xuan Zhang, Yu Hao, Zhan-yang Fei, et al. Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi[J]. Chinese Journal of Integrative Medicine, 2015,21(10):751-758. DOI: 10.1007/s11655-015-2319-7.
Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi
摘要
To analyze the correlations between the incidence of tuberculosis and meteorological factors over the same period and previous periods including 1
2 and 3 years ago
defined according to the Chinese medicine theory of five circuits (Wu Yun) and six qi
to establish medical-meteorological forecast models for the Beijing area of China. Data regarding the incidence of tuberculosis between 1990 and 2004 were obtained from the Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention
and the data regarding the meteorological factors (including daily average temperatures
wind speeds
precipitations
relative humidities
vapor pressures and low cloud covers) between 1987 and 2004 were collected from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and analyzed. Descriptive statistics and a back-propagation artificial neural network were adopted to analyze the data. There were significant correlations between the incidence of tuberculosis and the meteorological factors in the corresponding year and previous years. Among these correlations
wind speed was the factor with the strongest inflfl uence on tuberculosis (the standardized significance was 100%). Additionally
all prediction models would successfully established
suggesting the use of a collection of meteorological factors spanning from three years ago to the present is superior to the use of single data. The incidence of tuberculosis in Beijing area is correlated to meteorological factors in the current year and previous years
which verifies the practicality of the theory of five circuits and six qi.
Abstract
To analyze the correlations between the incidence of tuberculosis and meteorological factors over the same period and previous periods including 1
2 and 3 years ago
defined according to the Chinese medicine theory of five circuits (Wu Yun) and six qi
to establish medical-meteorological forecast models for the Beijing area of China. Data regarding the incidence of tuberculosis between 1990 and 2004 were obtained from the Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention
and the data regarding the meteorological factors (including daily average temperatures
wind speeds
precipitations
relative humidities
vapor pressures and low cloud covers) between 1987 and 2004 were collected from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and analyzed. Descriptive statistics and a back-propagation artificial neural network were adopted to analyze the data. There were significant correlations between the incidence of tuberculosis and the meteorological factors in the corresponding year and previous years. Among these correlations
wind speed was the factor with the strongest inflfl uence on tuberculosis (the standardized significance was 100%). Additionally
all prediction models would successfully established
suggesting the use of a collection of meteorological factors spanning from three years ago to the present is superior to the use of single data. The incidence of tuberculosis in Beijing area is correlated to meteorological factors in the current year and previous years
which verifies the practicality of the theory of five circuits and six qi.
关键词
tuberculosismeteorological factorsChinese Medicinefive circuits and six qiback-propagation artificial neural networkBeijing
Keywords
tuberculosismeteorological factorsChinese Medicinefive circuits and six qiback-propagation artificial neural networkBeijing
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相关作者
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相关机构
Department of Basic Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine
Beijing Professional Weather Service Observatory
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Göttingen
The Key Laboratory of Geriatrics, Beijing Hospital and Beijing Institute of Geriatrics’ Ministry of Public Health